InternetFundManager.com - Institutional Research of Internet Stocks

 

 
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 FOLLOWED STOCKS
This sample table is for the end of First Quarter 2000
 Institutional investor, input your password for current ratings and December 2001 target prices

Company and Sector

Symbol (Report)

See explanation of ratings sytem below

Analyst(s)
Short-Term Rating

Target Price 

(Q2 2000)

Long-Term Rating 
 Internet Access
America Online  AOL

 A

 $70

 7
 Mikhail Leonidov & Jonathan Gutwein
Earthlink Network  ELNK

 A

 $50

 1
  Michael London & Quen Liu
 Cable Internet Access
Excite@Home  ATHM

 D

 $36

 5
 Christopher Kim & Jie Li
Internet Cable  ICBL

 D

 $8.5

 4
 Michael Murillo
 Wireless Internet
Metricom  MCOM

 D

 $90

 4
 Dimo Kostopoulos
Phone.com  PHCM

 B

 $160

 8.5
 Adam Gross
 IP-Telephony
VocalTec Communications  VOCL

 D

 $35

 5
 Paul Carag & Kate Alley
 Internet Domain Registration
Network Solutions  NSOL

 B

 $300

 6.5
 Umut Vardar
 Internet Software Solutions
BraodVision  BVSN

 C

 $186

 5
 Daniel Freidberg
iXL Enterprises  IIXL

 B

 $40

 6
 Kit Lai
 Internet Portals
CNET  CNET

 A

 $65

 7
 Gokhan Atilgan
Yahoo!  YHOO

 B
 

 7.9
 Kinshuk Sharma & Jing Wang
 e-Commerce
Amazon.com  AMZN

 B

 $74

 8
 Yu Luo & Matthew Rosen
eBay  EBAY

 B

 159

 7.5
 Ron Israel & William Wai-Yin Kwok
Egghead.com  EGGS

 C-

 10.25

 4
 Francesca Durante & Satnan Singh
eToys  ETYS

 A

 $16.5

 7
 Kevin Shacknofsky
priceline.com  PCLN

 A

76

 7
Simit Patel
 B-to-B e-Commerce
VerticalNet  VERT

 C

 $220

 6
Hitesh Patel & Andy Yuan Chang
 e-Communities
GeoCities  GCTY        (merged with Yahoo!)
iVillage  IVIL

 D

$30

 4
 Sarah Studley & Adriana Suarez
Mpath Interactive  HEAR

 D

 $18

 5
 Edward Taylor
Netivation.com  NTVN

 D

 $7

 1
 Andrew Ing
 Internet Advertising
DoubleClick  DCLK

 B

$175

 8
 Jennifer Huang & Marc Mendelsohn
 e-Health
drkoop.com  KOOP

 C

$13

 5
 Joseph Leone & Ling Tang
Healtheon/WebMD  HLTH

 B

$65

 8
 Bhupinder Singh & Jenny Damin Zhang
 e-Finance
E*TRADE Group  EGRP

 D

 $19

 2
 Alex Tang, Ph.D.
Net.B@nk  NTBK

 D

$18

 4
 Eric Cappelmann
Wit Capital Group  WITC

 B

$18

 5
Rubing Qian
 B-to-B Transaction Processing
Digital Courier Technologies   DCTI

 C

 $11

 5
Andrey Lo & James English
         

 

 Long-Term Rating System
Our Long-Term rating system is based on the next-12-months performance that we expect the stock will have relative to the ISDEX Internet stocks index. As shown below, if we estimate that the stock will have an average performance relative to the Internet industry and thus produce the same annual (next-12-months) return as the ISDEX, we give it a 5 rating. If we expect it to outperform the industry, we give it a rating higher than 5. Conversely, if we expect the stock to under-perform the Internet industry, we give it a rating lower than 5. The ratings above (below) 5 depend on the degree by which we expect the stock to outperform (under-perform) the Internet index, as follows:

Expected difference between the (percent) annual returns of the stock and Internet Index

Long-Term Rating

Long-Term Rating (interpretation assuming a normal fairly bullish market)

 25% or more

 10
Strong Buy

 20%

 9

 15%

 8

 10%

 7
 Buy

 5%

 6
Outperform

 0%

 5
 ISDEX-perform

 -5%

 4
 Under-perform

 -10%

 3
 Sell

 -15%

 2
 Strong Sell

 -20%

 1

 -25% or less

 0

 where

 Expected Return = 100%X(Expected Price- Current Price)/Current Price

 For example, if we expect the annual (next-12-months) returns of the stock and Internet index to be 45% and 40%, respectively, then the difference between the percent annual returns of the stock and index would be (45%-40%=) 5% and this would correspond to a 6 rating (outperform rating).

Short-Term Rating System
The Short-Term rating system is based on the expected short-term (2 months) return of the stock (and NOT on the difference with that of an index)

 

Expected Shor-Term (2-months) Return of the stock

Short-Term Rating

Short-Term Rating
(interpretation)

 20% or more

 A
 Strong Buy

 15%

 B
 Buy

 5%

 C
 Accumulate

 0%

 D
 Hold

 -5%

 E
 Sell

 -10% or less

 F
 Strong Sell
 

 For example, if the stock is trading at $50 and we expect it to go to $60 in two months and thus have a short-term return of 20%, we give it an A rating (Strong Buy Short-Term rating).

Target price is the price we expect the stock to trade at a particular time in the future.

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